Forex Is Crazy

Yesterday I tuned into " Where do I start " @ TastyTrade.com. And during this 15 min segment Tom explained to Case why premium sellers like himself are typically delta short. In a nutshell it has to do with the fact that as a premium seller you are short volatility which rises in in a down market, so being short delta helps offset that a bit when markets move lower. Put another way, first you have to realize that volatility and market direction typically have an inverse relationship. When the market goes up volatility typically falls and when the market goes down volatility typically rises. As a premium seller you are selling or shorting volatility, so in a vaccuum your short vol position (short option) will make money as the market rises and lose money as the market drops. However we do not live in a vacuum and there are other factors that move your position's P&L. Delta is the equivalent position in the underlying and gives you an estimate of how much your P&L w...

The /ES has been setting up a new trading range since hitting a low of 1,553 in the most recent and much overdo corrective move to the downside. I know that many people point to the feds hints at pulling back at quantitative easing as the trigger...but lets also be fair that the market was just plane overbought and was due for a corrective move lower. Over the next few weeks and maybe few months as we move through summer I believe that the trading range is going to be between 1,550 to 1,645. I have highlighted the proposed trading range in grey in the above chart screen shot. We have to realize that this market has had a massive move to the upside and is need of some digestion before further direction up or down can be decided. Good Luck Trading! In The Money Trades And 1 favor that we ask:  If you like the hard work we put into our blog posts and videos, PLEASE help us out by sharing them. Click the share links below and share them on FB, twitter, etc. It really helps us get mor...