RIG, betting on the black gold...

RIG is another name that showed up on my filter list from Finviz.com a few weeks back. I have since been watching the stock and looking for the right time to enter. When it first popped up on my watch list RIG was trading close to $90 per share, today it is trading $81.31. My ideal entry price was set between $80-$82 as this is marks the bottom of the range that RIG has been stuck in since October of 2009, see chart below:

Since initially finding the stock there has been a few major pieces of news that have been released. On Feb 16th, 2010 RIG announced that its board had approved a stock buyback in the amount of $3.2 billion and also would now have a regular dividend in the amount of $3.11 annually or about 4%. The sell that occurred on this day is indicated by the large volume bar of almost 15 million shares as many investors were hoping for a $4 dividend, Greedy bastards. But nonetheless there is speculation that this is just the base dividend and that it will be increased in rather short order. This news alongside the fact that it is currently trading with a p/e of less 8 is just a perfect alignment of the stars in my opinion for a trade to the long side.Why? Because I am also bullish oil.

I have not decided exactly how I am going to make a play on this name yet. But I do know that I want to be long. Buying the stock outright is kind of out of the question as I would really only be able to buy 100 shares, but I am not completely ruling this out. Before I initiate a position in this name I kind of want to see how the lower end of this channel holds up. Because if it breaks then the next level is another 10 points away near $72.

I will update when anything new happens.

Comments

WOW! I think that sums it up

Many of you have been reading this blog may have noticed that my blogging frequency has increased over the past few weeks as I got short the market. As you can imagine I am down money since getting short the market, this is the time when most people pull away from posting. But my goal is to stay active and involved and show you that trading is not always rainbows and butterflies. It is times like these that the things I have been sharing over the past couple of weeks are so important. You need to trade small relative to your account. I have a decent short position in the market and my portfolios are set up to make some awesome returns if we finally turn lower. But something I would like to point out is that my account is 70% Cash. I learned a long time ago how important it is to live by the rules you preach. Because of my discipline I am able to continue to hold my positions, I have time and capital on my side. I can't stress enough how important it is not to get to big....

Stay Small, Stay Out of Trouble

To expand on my post from yesterday about patience. I want to talk about a very important element that allows patience in a position, and that is staying small. If you trade too big RELATIVE to your personal account size, you are likely to be forced to exit the trade before the trade works in your favor. Many trades myself included have all experienced the pains of trading a position way too large given our account size. There is this predisposition out there that the only way you are going to make money in the financial markets is if you are trading 10 lots of options and 1000 shares of stock at the time. This is not the case, and if this is your mentality you will likely ensure yourself trouble. We have all read the stories of traders blowing up their account. I personally think a good rule of thumb is to not risk more than 5% of your account value on any one position. Good Luck Trading! In The Money Trades And 1 favor that we ask: If you like the hard work w...

more good news from FXStreet : Tom Fitzpatrick, senior technical analyst at Citibank in New York. Monday, July 15, 2002 "Parity is a psychological, not a technical level...and whether we pause around parity or not, we are likely to see significant further dollar losses...Our initial target is $1.03 to $1.0450. If that level is taken out, it actually casts a question mark against the whole of the dollar's rally of the last seven years, and could open up a full-blown bear market for the dollar." Julian Jessop, chief European economist at Standard Chartered Bank. Monday, July 15, 2002 "The dollar is under pressure from everything from economic problems to asset reallocation away from the U.S. and corporate accounting problems. It's difficult to see any positive factor for the dollar at the moment. The root of the problem is the U.S. current account deficit. If the U.S. doesn't have to attract an enormous amount of foreign capital, people wouldn't have to wor...

Forex Is Crazy

Search This Blog